‘Trump Slump’ will see Spain overtake US in Global Tourism, says GlobalData

Spain is set to overtake the US in the list of the most visited countries in the world. France to remain in top spot

With France likely to retain top spot, Spain is expected to become the second most popular tourist destination in the world in 2018, says leading data and analytics company GlobalData. Spain is predicted to overtake the US, as the so called ‘Trump Slump’ continues to cause a dip in the US tourism industry.

Rapidly growing tourism flows herald a strong 2018 for the industry however as Konstantina Boutsioukou, consumer analyst at GlobalData, explains, “As Spain overtakes the US in the list of the most visited countries in the world, the global tourist community has sent a strong message that divisive and discriminatory policies can greatly hamper sector growth.”

Strong growth

Despite the recent political uncertainty following the Catalan independence referendum and the terror attacks in Barcelona and Cambrils last August, the Spanish tourism industry has proved to be very robust and has experienced strong growth in the last 12 months.

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According to figures from GlobalData, international arrivals to Spain increased by 4.8%*; from 75.6 million tourists in 2016 to 79.3 million in 2017. The UK, followed by France and Germany are the three largest source markets for Spain, making up 53% of total arrivals to the country. Spanish prime minister Mariano Rajoy, has also confirmed that early projections reveal that the total tourist expenditure in Spain recorded an all-time high, reaching £77 billion in 2017.

Travel restrictions and withdrawals

Official statistics by the United Nations World Tourism Organisation (UNWTO), have not been released, however current projections from the organisation reveal arrivals to the US are down from 75.9 million in 2016, to 72.9 in 2017. The decline of tourism is estimated to cost the US economy £140 million a week, equivalent to £7.3 billion a year. However New York City and Los Angeles have fared better than most US cities. Arrivals to Los Angeles have increased by 2.2%, mainly due to a growth in domestic arrivals and Chinese visitors. New York arrivals have increased by 2.1% mainly due to a surge in US visitors.

Boutsioukou adds, “The travel restrictions are seen by many tourists as state-sponsored Islamophobia, and are putting off many travellers from visiting the US. The ban has given rise to a general wave of withdrawals particularly among Middle Eastern, African and European tourists. Flows from Mexico have also registered a decline, as Mexican citizens seek to boycott the construction of the ‘Trump Wall’ at the border between Mexico and the US.’’

*  source: GlobalData Consumer Intelligence Centre – 2017 estimates

 

Pictured: Sevilla’s April Festival, Spain